Comparing Lean Hog Futures Prices to Live Hog Prices
R. W. Sutton, Extension Ag. Economist
The Chicago Mercantile Exchange changed its live hog futures contract to carcass-based
prices in early 1997. This is in keeping with industry trends of pricing the carcass rather than by
live weight. However, most producers still calculate their costs and production measures in live
weight dollars per hundred weight (cwt.). Many users of this information still think and function
in live weight terms.
A simple table that compares lean hog futures prices to live hog prices
follows. This has been found to be useful as a quick reference.
This table is based on assumptions reported in an earlier publication, "An
Explanation of Hog Futures Changes," Management Marketing
Memo, No.343, by R. Sutton and J. Albrecht, Clemson Univ., Nov. 1996. On the left
side of the table, the lean price is multiplied by a factor of 0.74 and
rounded to the nearest 0.05 to estimate the live price. On the right side,
the live price is multiplied by 1.35 (the reciprocal of 0.74) and rounded to
the nearest 0.05 to derive the approximate lean price. All base prices are
reported in increments of 0.50.
These are approximate calculations and should only be used as a guideline for estimating
equivalent prices. Each producer/user should compute these equivalents for their actual situation.
LEAN HOG FUTURES PRICE EQUIVALENTS
LEAN HOG CONTRACT VS. LIVE HOG PRICE APPROXIMATIONS
| Lean $ |
Live $ |
  |
Lean $ |
Live $ |
 |
|  |
| 50.00 |
37.00 |
|
68.00 |
50.30 |
| 50.50 |
37.35 |
|
68.50 |
50.70 |
| 51.00 |
37.75 |
|
69.00 |
51.05 |
| 51.50 |
38.10 |
|
69.50 |
51.45 |
| 52.00 |
38.50 |
|
70.00 |
51.80 |
| 52.50 |
38.85 |
|
70.50 |
52.15 |
| 53.00 |
39.20 |
|
71.00 |
52.55 |
| 53.50 |
39.60 |
|
71.50 |
52.90 |
| 54.00 |
39.95 |
|
72.00 |
53.30 |
| 54.50 |
40.35 |
|
72.50 |
53.65 |
| 55.00 |
40.70 |
|
73.00 |
54.00 |
| 55.50 |
41.05 |
|
73.50 |
54.40 |
| 56.00 |
41.45 |
|
74.00 |
54.75 |
| 56.50 |
41.80 |
|
74.50 |
55.15 |
| 57.00 |
42.20 |
|
75.00 |
55.50 |
| 57.50 |
42.55 |
|
75.50 |
55.85 |
| 58.00 |
42.90 |
|
76.00 |
56.25 |
| 58.50 |
43.30 |
|
76.50 |
56.60 |
| 59.00 |
43.65 |
|
77.00 |
56.95 |
| 59.50 |
44.05 |
|
77.50 |
57.35 |
| 60.00 |
44.40 |
|
78.00 |
57.70 |
| 60.50 |
44.75 |
|
78.50 |
58.10 |
| 61.00 |
45.15 |
|
79.00 |
58.45 |
| 61.50 |
45.50 |
|
79.50 |
58.85 |
| 62.00 |
45.90 |
|
80.00 |
59.20 |
| 62.50 |
46.25 |
|
80.50 |
59.55 |
| 63.00 |
46.60 |
|
81.00 |
59.95 |
| 63.50 |
47.00 |
|
81.50 |
60.30 |
| 64.00 |
47.35 |
|
82.00 |
60.70 |
| 64.50 |
47.75 |
|
82.50 |
61.05 |
| 65.00 |
48.10 |
|
83.00 |
61.40 |
| 65.50 |
48.45 |
|
83.50 |
61.80 |
| 66.00 |
48.85 |
|
84.00 |
62.15 |
| 66.50 |
49.20 |
|
84.50 |
62.55 |
| 67.00 |
49.60 |
|
85.00 |
62.90 |
| 67.50 |
49.95 |
|
85.50 |
63.25 |
|
| Live $ |
Lean $ |
  |
Live $ |
Lean $ |
 |
|  |
| 37.00 |
50.00 |
|
55.00 |
74.30 |
| 37.50 |
50.70 |
|
55.50 |
75.00 |
| 38.00 |
51.35 |
|
56.00 |
75.70 |
| 38.50 |
52.00 |
|
56.50 |
76.35 |
| 39.00 |
52.70 |
|
57.00 |
77.05 |
| 39.50 |
53.40 |
|
57.50 |
77.70 |
| 40.00 |
54.05 |
|
58.00 |
78.40 |
| 40.50 |
54.75 |
|
58.50 |
79.05 |
| 41.00 |
55.40 |
|
59.00 |
79.75 |
| 41.50 |
56.10 |
|
59.50 |
80.40 |
| 42.00 |
56.75 |
|
60.00 |
81.10 |
| 42.50 |
57.45 |
|
60.50 |
81.75 |
| 43.00 |
58.10 |
|
61.00 |
82.45 |
| 43.50 |
58.80 |
|
61.50 |
83.10 |
| 44.00 |
59.45 |
|
62.00 |
83.80 |
| 44.50 |
60.15 |
|
62.50 |
84.45 |
| 45.00 |
60.80 |
|
63.00 |
85.15 |
| 45.50 |
61.50 |
|
63.50 |
85.80 |
| 46.00 |
62.15 |
|
64.00 |
86.50 |
| 46.50 |
62.85 |
|
64.50 |
87.15 |
| 47.00 |
63.50 |
|
65.00 |
87.85 |
| 47.50 |
64.20 |
|
65.50 |
88.50 |
| 48.00 |
64.85 |
|
66.00 |
89.20 |
| 48.50 |
65.55 |
|
66.50 |
89.85 |
| 49.00 |
66.20 |
|
67.00 |
90.55 |
| 49.50 |
66.90 |
|
67.50 |
91.20 |
| 50.00 |
67.55 |
|
68.00 |
91.90 |
| 50.50 |
68.25 |
|
68.50 |
92.55 |
| 51.00 |
68.90 |
|
69.00 |
93.25 |
| 51.50 |
69.60 |
|
69.50 |
93.90 |
| 52.00 |
70.25 |
|
70.00 |
94.60 |
| 52.50 |
70.95 |
|
70.50 |
95.25 |
| 53.00 |
71.60 |
|
71.00 |
95.95 |
| 53.50 |
72.30 |
|
71.50 |
96.60 |
| 54.00 |
73.00 |
|
72.00 |
97.30 |
| 54.50 |
73.65 |
|
72.50 |
97.95 |
|
 |
 |

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