Outlook
OU 305April 18, 1996

1996 PLANTING INTENTIONS FOR CORN AND SOYBEANS

C.E. Curtis, Jr.
Extension Ag Economist

The USDA estimates farmers intend to plant 79.9 million acres to corn and 62.5 million acres to soybeans in 1996. This constitutes an eleven percent increase in corn plantings from 1994 acres planted. Soybean acres were projected to be essentially the same as last year. The results are from a national survey of farmer intentions taken on or about March 1, 1996. Table 1 displays the 1996 estimated plantings intended for the crops. Tables 2 and 3 present greater detail on US intentions and acreage shares for corn and beans, respectively.

Table 1. 1996 Prospective Plantings
Region/Crop19961995 Change

South Carolina(Acres)(Acres)(%)

Corn340,000290,000+ 27.6 %
Soybeans540,000550,000- 1.8 %

U. S.(Million Ac.)(Million Ac.)(%)

Corn79.8971.21+ 11.1 %
Soybeans62.5862.48- 0.2 %


Southeastern acreage is generally expected to increase due to higher relative prices and increased flexibility embedded in the new Farm Bill. South Carolina is currently projected to plant 340,000 acres of corn and 540,000 acres of soybeans. This constitutes a 50,000 acre increase in corn plantings and a 10,000 acre decline in soybean plantings from 1995 acres planted in the state. Anecdotally, many feel these numbers may increase as actual plantings become apparent.



Table 2.  Corn Acres, Actual and Prospective Plantings by State, 1994-96
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                1996       1996        State   
                                   Projected   Acreage   Percent of  Percent of
      State        1994     1995     1996      Change    Year  Ago     U.S.    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                (1,000 Acres)                  (Percent)
                                                                               
Alabama               290      250      330         80       16.0%       0.41% 
Arizona                28       30       40         10       -6.7%       0.05% 
Arkansas              100       95      200        105        5.3%       0.25% 
California            420      435      450         15       -3.4%       0.56% 
Colorado              995      950      960         10        4.7%       1.20% 
Connecticut            45       37       40          3       21.6%       0.05% 
Delaware              155      145      160         15        6.9%       0.20% 
Florida               120      100      120         20       20.0%       0.15% 
Georgia               600      400      580        180       50.0%       0.73% 
daho                  100       95      100          5        5.3%       0.13% 
Illinois            11600    10200    11600       1400       13.7%      14.52% 
Indiana              6100     5400     5900        500       13.0%       7.39% 
Iowa                13000    11700    12700       1000       11.1%      15.90% 
Kansas               2330     2150     2400        250        8.4%       3.00% 
Kentucky             1350     1280     1400        120        5.5%       1.75% 
Louisiana             320      230      430        200       39.1%       0.54% 
Maine                  29       30       33          3       -3.3%       0.04% 
Maryland              460      450      520         70        2.2%       0.65% 
Michigan             2550     2450     2700        250        4.1%       3.38% 
Minnesota            7000     6700     7200        500        4.5%       9.01% 
Mississippi           290      300      550        250       -3.3%       0.69% 
Missouri             2400     1650     2500        850       45.5%       3.13% 
Montana                60       55       55          0        9.1%       0.07% 
Nebraska             8600     8000     8700        700        7.5%      10.89% 
New Hampshire          19       17       16         -1       11.8%       0.02% 
New Jersey            100       98      110         12        2.0%       0.14% 
New Mexico            133      123      115         -8        8.1%       0.14% 
New York             1110     1100     1120         20        0.9%       1.40% 
North Carolina       1000      800     1000        200       25.0%       1.25% 
North Dakota          800      700      850        150       14.3%       1.06% 
Ohio                 3700     3300     3700        400       12.1%       4.63% 
Oklahoma              190      155      155          0       22.6%       0.19% 
Oregon                 48       46       45         -1        4.3%       0.06% 
Pennsylvania         1400     1380     1400         20        1.4%       1.75% 
Rhode Island            3        3        3          0        0.0%       0.00% 
South Carolina        370      290      340         50       27.6%       0.43% 
South Dakota         3800     2800     3800       1000       35.7%       4.76% 
Tennessee             670      640      670         30        4.7%       0.84% 
Texas                2150     2100     2150         50        2.4%       2.69% 
Utah                   67       68       67         -1       -1.5%       0.08% 
Vermont                93       87       90          3        6.9%       0.11% 
Virginia              500      430      450         20       16.3%       0.56% 
Washington            150      150      140        -10        0.0%       0.18% 
West Virginia          70       65       65          0        7.7%       0.08% 
Wisconsin            3750     3650     3850        200        2.7%       4.82% 
Wyoming                80       80       85          5        0.0%       0.11% 
US  Total           79145    71214    79889       8675       11.1%     100.00% 
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Source:  USDA, NASS, Planting Intentions Report, March 29, 1996.
Note:  1996 is "Intended Plantings" reported by farmers.



Table 3.  Soybean Acres, Actual and Prospective Planted by State, 1994-96
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                               1996      Change      State  
                  Actual   Actual  Projected  Acreage     From     Percent of
      State        1994     1995     1996     Change    Year Ago     U.S.   
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              (1000 acres)                     (percent)
                                                                            
Alabama             310      240      220       -20       -8.3%      0.35%
Arkansas          3,450    3,450    3,300      -150       -4.3%      5.28%
Delaware            225      235      220       -15       -6.4%      0.35%
Florida              45       30       28        -2       -6.7%      0.04%
Georgia             520      320      370        50       15.6%      0.59%
Illinois          9,500    9,750    9,750         0        0.0%     15.61%
Indiana           4,600    5,000    4,800      -200       -4.0%      7.68%
Iowa              8,800    9,300    9,400       100        1.1%     15.05%
Kansas            2,150    2,100    2,050       -50       -2.4%      3.28%
Kentucky          1,150    1,170    1,130       -40       -3.4%      1.81%
Louisiana         1,150    1,070      970      -100       -9.3%      1.55%
Maryland            560      550      490       -60      -10.9%      0.78%
Michigan          1,550    1,500    1,550        50        3.3%      2.48%
Minnesota         5,700    5,900    5,950        50        0.8%      9.52%
Mississippi       1,900    1,850    1,900        50        2.7%      3.04%
Missouri          4,600    4,600    4,600         0        0.0%      7.36%
Nebraska          2,900    3,100    3,150        50        1.6%      5.04%
New Jersey          150      140      110       -30      -21.4%      0.18%
North Carolin     1,400    1,150    1,150         0        0.0%      1.84%
North Dakota        640      660      800       140       21.2%      1.28%
Ohio              4,000    4,050    4,000       -50       -1.2%      6.40%
Oklahoma            300      290      300        10        3.4%      0.48%
Pennsylvania        320      320      310       -10       -3.1%      0.50%
South Carolin       600      550      540       -10       -1.8%      0.86%
South Dakota      2,430    2,550    2,550         0        0.0%      4.08%
Tennessee         1,100    1,130    1,150        20        1.8%      1.84%
Texas               220      250      290        40       16.0%      0.46%
Virginia            540      490      500        10        2.0%      0.80%
Wisconsin           860      830      900        70        8.4%      1.44%

US  Total        61,670   62,575   62,478       -97       -0.2%    100.00%
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Source:  USDA-NASS, Prospective Plantings Report, March 29, 1996.
Note:  1996 is "Intended Plantings" reported by farmers.

THE CLEMSON UNIVERSITY COOPERATIVE EXTENSION SERVICE OFFERS ITS PROGRAMS TO PEOPLE OF ALL AGES, REGARDLESS OF RACE, COLOR, SEX, RELIGION, NATIONAL ORIGIN, OR HANDICAP AND IS AN EQUAL OPPORTUNITY EMPLOYER.
COOPERATIVE EXTENSION WORK IN AGRICULTURE AND HOME ECONOMICS--STATE OF SOUTH CAROLINA, CLEMSON UNIVERSITY, U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE, AND SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES COOPERATING.
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